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☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000024   更新日期:2008-10-21◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2008-06-30|2008-03-31|2007-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.3450    |0.2070    |0.0400    |1.6160    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.3632    |0.2260    |0.0400    |1.4920    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.4800    |6.3500    |9.3700    |9.3500    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.7300    |2.7200    |0.4700    |14.6500   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.4922    |2.4922    |4.0403    |4.0407    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.4233    |2.2941    |3.5261    |3.5823    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|191078.99 |144693.36 |56294.77  |411164.47 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1455.33   |-2728.56  |-169.59   |20106.45  |
|净利润(万元)      |38865.78  |21872.90  |3696.19   |115787.76 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2007-06-30|2007-03-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.7031    |0.6350    |0.1030    |1.0200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.6981    |0.6320    |0.0980    |1.0140    |
|每股净资产(元)    |8.9694    |7.0570    |5.8350    |5.6000    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |10.8500   |8.0500    |1.7350    |18.2100   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|6.0598    |3.9435    |2.6919    |0.3663    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.0651    |1.1402    |1.0145    |3.4569    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|219676.13 |171736.91 |38269.24  |280927.66 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |10146.47  |10654.64  |-142.56   |9292.73   |
|净利润(万元)      |48012.32  |41724.64  |6383.43   |63141.66  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.3450    |1.6160    |1.0200    |0.6800    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.3632    |1.4920    |1.0140    |0.6800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.4800    |9.3500    |5.6000    |6.1020    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.4922    |4.0407    |0.3663    |2.4066    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.4233    |3.5823    |3.4569    |1.6927    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-2.1996   |-4.7375   |-2.5577   |-2.2083   |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.2702   |3.1076    |0.9923    |-0.1458   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|191078.99 |411164.47 |280927.66 |265947.57 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |64807.00  |
|经营费用(万元)    |12823.05  |7621.48   |7789.21   |5114.58   |
|管理费用(万元)    |11051.00  |16077.20  |11951.14  |9273.02   |
|财务费用(万元)    |4497.81   |1060.46   |1072.85   |-3645.12  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |109.24    |18.95     |93.74     |-16.42    |
|营业利润(万元)    |48032.23  |132721.11 |75584.88  |54197.58  |
|投资收益(万元)    |1455.33   |20106.45  |9292.73   |-3592.10  |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |3337.82   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |1617.45   |12722.92  |3499.53   |-338.81   |
|利润总额(万元)    |49649.69  |145444.02 |79084.41  |53604.49  |
|所得税(万元)      |11514.97  |25930.93  |12793.02  |9612.69   |
|净利润(万元)      |38865.78  |115787.76 |63141.66  |42158.09  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |42.10     |47.00     |37.67     |27.41     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |23.62     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.73      |14.65     |18.21     |11.17     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.06      |0.17      |0.25      |0.36      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |35.49     |85.21     |83.47     |52.02     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.07      |0.22      |0.26      |0.31      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-13.02    |46.36     |5.63      |-23.49    |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-18.35    |75.59     |39.46     |6.78      |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-19.05    |83.38     |49.77     |17.17     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |8.38      |127.95    |-8.18     |9.40      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |59.49     |101.10    |39.70     |5.70      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |2977631.76|2510716.37|1248473.29|893656.53 |
|负债总额(万元)  |2005117.85|1596241.90|880627.06 |504784.69 |
|流动负债(万元)  |1400960.78|1228145.75|498335.19 |343873.69 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |160911.00 |
|货币资金(万元)  |334463.53 |358809.59 |100457.12 |34051.60  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |5118.81   |5649.87   |4000.60   |2730.48   |
|其他应收款(万元)|89000.07  |83689.17  |56219.17  |3496.03   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |821291.78 |790292.05 |346698.18 |377575.72 |
|资产负债率(%)   |67.3393   |63.5771   |70.5363   |56.4853   |
|股东权益比率(%) |27.5820   |31.4767   |27.7697   |42.2506   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.8537    |1.7641    |2.0183    |1.7687    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.3154    |0.3662    |0.3277    |0.1175    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-09-30|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |420461.48 |378545.45 |328343.79 |251016.25 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-278762.58|-400259.16|-158281.08|-136654.80|
|现金净流量(万元)|-34243.28 |262557.92 |61408.07  |-9026.74  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |27.11     |108.45    |40.51     |12.38     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |220.0459  |92.0667   |116.8784  |94.3856   |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-334.9082 |-238.7656 |-324.1484 |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |219.6897  |92.6335   |-21.4117  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-21883.27 |-156122.65|-25426.35 |-6247.46  |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |264965.29 |819573.47 |244980.35 |133986.32 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-09-30    |2007-09-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|存货(万元)          |2155208.27    |1123310.16    |91.86       |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |2597081.13    |1520260.56    |70.83       |
|资产总计(万元)      |2977631.76    |1866931.34    |59.49       |
|短期借款(万元)      |508003.52     |329140.68     |54.34       |
|应付票据(万元)      |26715.03      |17671.93      |51.17       |
|预收账款(万元)      |234354.95     |97065.49      |141.44      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |323364.33     |125700.44     |157.25      |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |142000.00     |50000.00      |184.00      |
|其他流动负债(万元)  |45129.30      |18020.68      |150.43      |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |1400960.78    |719800.63     |94.63       |
|长期借款(万元)      |520282.21     |335000.00     |55.31       |
|负债合计(万元)      |2005117.85    |1055758.39    |89.92       |
|少数股东权益(万元   |151222.13     |53378.28      |183.30      |
|股本(万元)          |126730.05     |84486.70      |50.00       |
|未分配利润(万元)    |307103.31     |89990.74      |241.26      |
|外币报表            |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |9987.11       |738.23        |1252.84     |
|负债和股东          |              |              |            |
|权益总计(万元)      |2977631.76    |1866931.34    |59.49       |
|减:营业费用(万元)   |12823.05      |4141.55       |209.62      |
|加:投资收益(万元)   |1455.33       |10146.47      |-85.66      |
|加:外币报表        |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |9987.11       |738.23        |1252.84     |
|销售商品、提供劳    |              |              |            |
|务收到的现金(万元)  |420461.48     |270798.88     |55.27       |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |89364.76      |44640.32      |100.19      |
|(经营)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |510091.78     |318542.26     |60.13       |
|支付的各项税费(万元)|65865.81      |42004.42      |56.81       |
|支付其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |92025.12      |30057.23      |206.17      |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |5656.38       |90850.23      |-93.77      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |27238.36      |94630.43      |-71.22      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-21883.27     |-91619.77     |76.12       |
|吸收投资所收到的    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |22698.53      |264323.89     |-91.41      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-34243.28     |209370.87     |-116.36     |
|减:现金期初余额(万元|354498.49     |91002.83      |289.55      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-34243.28     |209370.87     |-116.36     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    38269.24|      9.31|     6383.43|      5.51|
|第二季度      |   133467.68|     32.46|    35341.21|     30.52|
|第三季度      |    47939.21|     11.66|     6287.68|      5.43|
|第四季度      |   191488.34|     46.57|    67775.44|     58.53|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    34397.10|     12.24|     7342.72|     11.63|
|第二季度      |    49415.08|     17.59|     8771.13|     13.89|
|第三季度      |    60721.14|     21.61|    10089.85|     15.98|
|第四季度      |   136394.34|     48.55|    36937.96|     58.50|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-09-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.4017|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1238|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0181|    0.6855|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.4095|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.0641|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -7.08|     -4.67|      1.73|     -1.04|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.47|      0.87|      3.56|     -1.80|
|净利润率              |      1.29|      1.39|      1.11|      0.86|
|应收帐款              |      0.69|     -0.12|      0.11|     -0.07|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -1.59|     -0.88|      1.83|     -0.69|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -5.24|     -2.66|     -1.83|     -1.01|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -2.07|     -2.20|     -3.51|     -1.92|
|留存盈利              |      3.13|      2.23|      2.21|      1.96|
|净资产收益率          |    172.75|    175.67|    160.17|    128.59|
|投资预警综合指数      |     32.98|     34.12|     30.87|     25.23|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.53|      0.78|      0.79|      0.55|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.53|      0.78|      0.79|      0.55|
|支付现金股利          |      0.88|      0.81|      0.80|      0.46|
|银行贷款率            |          |          |      0.93|     -0.94|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.49|      0.86|      0.85|      0.62|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      9.42|     10.08|     10.24|      7.36|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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